For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. He ranks top 30 in this field in approach, putting, bogey avoidance, three-putt avoidance, and sand saves. The only common thread I can find between past winners at Southern Hills is that theyre all properly good ball-strikers. But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. But the truth of the matter is that favorites dont always win golf tournaments. Lets dig in and find some winners! SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Wevers-USA TODAY Sports. 2022 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report. Rahm, a 10-time PGA Tour champion, is listed as the 7-1 favorite in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO). Golfers should expect tough conditions and high winds this week. At low ownership and price, Lee could be a great GPP option. We got it all, chickens, goats, you name it. It's his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three . That won't be easy. Tiger Woods ($8,200) - Another surprise as a pivot play is Tiger Woods. As we make our way further down the board to find a mega-longshot, lets throw that idea directly out the window. After slotting at No. You might also remember that he was in contention in the U.S. Open last year at Torrey Pines. Yeah, its our little oasis at home, and we love it. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Phil Mickelsonis not in the field for the first time since 1992. Were about an hour north of downtown. Over the last 24 rounds, Hatton ranks third in the field in strokes gained short-game. In 14 starts this calendar year, Higgs has just one top-15 finish and five made cuts. The biggest reason I am sprinkling on Fleetwood this week is his success on coastal- and links-style courses. He won last years Scottish Open, beating the likes of Justin Thomas and John Rahm. Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! I expect Scheffler to find himself in the final pairing come Sunday, but Spieth will be there with him. Davante Adams turned down a bigger deal from the Packers to force his way to Raiders, Mohammed Usman sets the record straight on Mitchell Sipe trash-talk, outright pick to win the 2022 PGA Championship. Hovlands game declined some as it got closer to April and finished in a disappointing 27th place at The Masters. Xander Schauffele 6. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. That means it's time to pick your optimal DraftKings fantasy golf lineup for the season's. Just shot 64 at Southern Hills his favorite course. big-bucks bets with a sportsbook. Twilight 9 podcast PGA Championship preview: Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. When it comes to my betting picks this week, you won't find anything too groundbreaking here. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +2,000. At these odds, I had to throw some money down on him. He ranks top-20 in SG:APR, one-putt percentage and scrambling from the rough, so he should be a safe bet to remain in contention this week. Hovland Is still one of the best ball strikers on tour. (Photo: Nick Wass/Associated Press). Wm Phx Open Final Round, Harold Varner III. So what gives? No more. For +12,500, I will bet that we see flashes of 2020 Wolff at Southern Hills. In his two starts at major championships, Higgs has finished in the top 15. There's no place like home, and K.H. That makes his +275 odds to log a top-10 finish look pretty appetizing. (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images). Were about to have a little bit more. Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Yeah, that came at Augusta National. 17. Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, and Rory McIlroy are among the top golfers expected to have success at Southern Hills CC, but here are three sleepers who could be making even louder noises there. And when hes not writing about ways to hit the golf ball farther and straighter, the Milwaukee native is probably playing the game, hitting the ball left, right and short, and drinking a cold beer to wash away his score. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at FOLLOW US ON Eventually, hell be due to bring the A-game that has fueled his four wins on TOUR to a major. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. To-win: Will Zalatoris, +3,300. The course is a rather long one at 7,556 yardsand plays to a par of 70. TIL Y.E. Im not sure hes ready to get the job done on a major stage, but Robert MacIntyre is one of golfs up-and-comers who has been playing well of late. Recent PGA Championship Winners (Opening odds) 2021: Phil Mickelson (+15000)2020: Collin Morikawa (+6000)2019: Brooks Koepka (+1400)2018: Brooks Koepka (+2000)2017: Justin Thomas (+3000)2016:. Meanwhile,Tiger Woods (+6500)ranks lower than usual among the field as he looks to return to form in his second event back from a 2021 car crash that left him with severe injuries. The PGA Championship tees off Thursday (May 20th) at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, in South Carolina Xander Schauffele has finished 6th or better seven times in his 15 Major starts Read below for analysis of the event and our favorite sleepers and longshot plays Feb. 13, 2022; Scottsdale Arizona, USA; Chris Kirk tees off on the 16th hole during the final round of the WM Phoenix Open. The 104th PGA Championship will take place from May 19-22 at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma. His play outperforms his salary and current projected ownership. 1. Max Homa celebrates with his caddie Joe Greiner after winning the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm in Potomac, Maryland. Bradley arrives at Southern Hills with four top-10 finishes in his last six starts, including a solo fifth in the strongest field of the year at the Players Championship. He made the most birdies (22) of any player at Augusta National, and as late at the 11th hole on Masters Sunday, the Aussie was in position to give Scheffler a run for the green jacket. Bradley remains the last player to win in his major championship debut as he proved victorious in a playoff at the Atlantic Athletic Club over Jason Dufner 11 years ago. He will in all likelihood lose strokes putting at Bay Hill this week as well. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Magazine. And this is no knock against him. More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks. He is also in the top half of the field in strokes gained tee-to-green and ball-striking. Our staff also likes a few more to-win bets and sleeper picks. 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship DFS Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022 The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Wilmington, Delaware for the first time in PGA TOUR history, as we head to the South course at Wilmington Country Club for potential longshot BMW Championship picks. Probably the first four, five events, I played with some pretty decent pain, he said at the Mexico Open. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. PGA Championship dark horse picks: 5 sleepers who could win at Southern HIlls Feb. 13, 2022; Scottsdale Arizona, USA; Chris Kirk tees off on the 16th hole during the final round of the WM. The course plays differently than it has in the past, as the rough isn't as thick as it once was thanks to a course re-design in 2018. Cameron Champ hits a tee shot last month during the Mexico Open. That makes him an intriguing long shot. For whatever reason, hes embraced Perry Maxwell designs during his career. The big concern would be driving accuracy as that could get him in trouble. In 2020, he finished second at the Scottish Open and in 2019, he finished second at the Open Championship. The PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Okla. Speaking of high numbers! His whole situation does beg the question: Will we ever see Lefty on the PGA Tour again? His solid short game will help around Southern Hills, and if the flat stick gets hot he can keep up with anyone. Noren rounded out his AT&T Byron Nelson effort with an 8-under 64 and quietly added to what has been a fantastic season. If you like storylines entering a. His highest finish was a T-4 in 2018. In my case for Max Homa, I argued that while there are differences between weekly PGA Tournaments and majors, good golf will find a way to translate. Sleeper pick: Cameron Champ, +10,000. He has finished top 10 in each of his last PGA Championship appearances. PGA Championship 2021: Odds for Sleepers and Favorites at Kiawah Island Joe Tansey May 17, 2021 Jacob Kupferman/Associated Press Five first-time men's golf major winners have been crowned in. He won the 2007 PGA at Southern Hills. Gooch has the game to contend this week and certainly offers value at a number this high. They may have their flaws -- they are "sleepers" for a reason -- but each possess considerable upside and some have even raised a major championship trophy in the past. For just $0.83/month, get an ad-free experience and access to RotoBaller's VIP Discord Chat Community, If you can't subscribe, please consider turning off your adblocker for RotoBaller.com. 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The PGA Championship offers an extremely difficult task at the Ocean Course on Kiawah Island but these sleepers and dark horses could pop and win a major. It plays at 7,556 yards after its re-design in 2018and plays to a par of 70. Who will win the PGA Championship, and which long shots will stun the golfing world? They may have their flaws -- they are "sleepers" for a. He is a seasoned veteran who has four top-five finishes in majors, including the playoff loss to Zach Johnson at the 2015 Open at The Old Course. Hes just, well, not there. The four-time Tour winners history at major championships is worrisome, with his best finish coming at the 2021 Open (T-40). That may not sound like much, but for this price, that combination of tee-to-green consistency and course history prowess make a great formula for a top-40 push. There are a lot of ways to play your golf gambling dollar. He completes the grand slam. Only competitors with 100-1 or better odds are listed. Here is a look at five sleepers you should consider farther down the PGA Championship odds board as offered by Caesars Sportsbook. Elsewhere, Scott is 80-1 or lower. Sleeper Picks: PGA Championship PGA TOUR STANDINGS FedExCup Standings 1 S. Power 749 2 K. Bradley 638 3 M. Hughes 614 4 T. Kim 601 5 B. Harman 594 SLEEPER PICKS Sleeper Picks: PGA. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. Both check all of the boxes that we are looking for on the Southern Hills Country Club course. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. Then again, Im searching for value at a major. His PGA TOUR Horse for the Course for daily fantasy golf based on course history. The list of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational reads like a list of major champions and annual major contenders. In order to score well at Southern Hills,. Its got a lot to do with just the bone was healed, there was just a lot of nerve damage. Homas form entering the week speaks for itself: He won the last time he teed it up. the winner of the PGA Tour's Barracuda Championship in 2021 . We have made one of each using odds from BetMGM to assist you with your own weekly picks, whether those are for a low-stakes office fantasy league, or (legal!) He has finished in the top three in both of his last two outings, with seven top-20 finishes this season. All of these things put together should bode well for the European golfers who are used to playing on these courses and in these conditions. While he has struggled on the PGA Tour, he displayed good form finishing in 14th-place at The Masters in April. The result marks Kirk's . Cantlay 6McIlroy 5MorikawaThomasHoma 4SchefflerDJRahmC. You can too! Below is a breakdown of several candidates to consider in this year's PGA Championship field. Only two of that crop are being offered at odds lower than +10000 at most sportsbooks. This is likely the case, but how much we should weight that metric is up for debate. (!!) The PGA Tour rookie is now up to No. Subsequently, we wouldnt be doing our due diligence if we didnt take a hard look at PGA Championship dark horse picks and sleepers that have the game to win this week. Their cheat sheets, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple . While the golf world stirred itself into a frenzy, the tournaments being played since the Masters havent been very inspiring for golf fans. Sleeper pick: Justin Rose, +12,500. Yang stunned the world with his come-from-behind victory over Tiger Woods at Hazeltine National in 2009, and he is not alone when it comes to those who have emerged from obscurity. Henley has numerous tour victories in windy conditions. Also, the smartest picker I know has been crowing about Young for months. 1 Scottie Scheffler. Count me among those who believe he has as good a chance as anyone to win this weeks PGA Championship at Southern Hills. Henley ranks fifth in the field in approach and 20th around the green. Any of the top golfers in the field could win this year's major. Below, we search for value in the odds and target five sleepers and long-shot picks to win the 2021 PGA Championship. Particularly when it comes to a major championship, the favorites to win always get the biggest look. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. And names like Justin Thomas, Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth and many others always look attractive. I know it's going to be tough for Morikawa to win this event in back-to-back years, but I can't resist. Ive only seen 9 holes and Southern Hills is already up there with the best courses Ive played in my life #golf, Jason Day waits to putt on the 18th green during the first round of the AT&T Byron Nelson golf tournament. It will also be good to find a player that can find success out of the rough. To-win: Xander Schauffele, +2,500: I have it on good authority that an elite ball-striker is going to win the PGA. They each have +400 odds for a top-10 finish and would be great DFS fillers in the sub-$9,000 salary range. After a T13 at THE PLAYERS this year, his best finish in that event, he seems poised to make the next logical leap. It's always a high-class field that meets at Bay Hill for the Arnie P, and 2023 - with it's newly-minted elevated status - is no different. The Big Rig has not been playing stellar golf lately, missing every cut since the Masters, but hes shown an ability to grind out scores on difficult courses. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Big Sky Tournament Odds: Is Two-Seed Montana State The Rightful Favorite? To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. With that said, however, his great form and how hes succeeding leads me to believe he can be a factor this week. The putter is still not cooperating like hed hoped, but if he can get even average results on the greens in Tulsa, he should be in contention on Sunday. Spieths finishes since the Masters feature a win and a solo second, so his game is shaping up. ?Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! Sleeper pick: Y.E. Lee is an excellent golfer, make no mistake, but he hasn't quite looked ready to win a PGA TOUR event prior to the weekend. Several winners in previous years will also be competing, which include Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth. Sure, this season has been all about Scottie Scheffler, but these odds are too good to pass up for a player experiencing a similar meteoric rise this season. Because the API is an elevated event, 27 of the top 30 players in the world will tee it up at Bay Hill with a $3.6 . So, why no love for Homa from the bookmakers? Over the last 24 rounds, he ranks second in ball striking and first in strokes gained approach. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports. This weekend is shaping up to be a legendary moment in the history of golf, as 156 of the best golfers in the world compete at the legendary Old Course at St Andrew's. Moneyline (ML): SE Missouri State -135 (bet $135 to win $110) | Tennessee Tech +105 (bet $100 to win $105) Against the spread: SE Missouri State -2.5 (+100) | Tennessee Tech +2.5 (-120) Two of those were playoff losses to guys who arent exactly slouches (Spieth and Scheffler). I lost all the muscle in my arm pretty much for not using it for four and a half, five months. Phil Mickelson is the reigning winner of the PGA Championship. Over those 12 rounds, hes shot over par just once a three-over 75 during the second round at Augusta. He is in good form as he has finished 41st or better in 10 of his last 11 starts. 2021 PGA Championship Overview 2. Many notable contenders are in peak form right now and leading the charge in the PGA standings. Shop around because I was still seeing some +2000's out there. Sleeper pick: Keegan Bradley, +1,000. It's the city in which two best moments in golf have come - namely, winning the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson and then successfully defending his crown just this past week. Hatton ranks ninth in "Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green" and 20th in "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee." Hes a sleeper only because of the odds. Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. The 30-year-old Englishmen has underperformed this year for how well he has played. In his past two starts, Champ has been channeling that power into better scoring, with a T10 at the Masters and T6 at the Mexico Open. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. The 24-year-old has never finished better than 12th in a major and his best finish at the PGA Championship was a T-30 in 2021. I couldnt touch a club for eight, 10 weeks, 10, 11 weeks, and even at that, it took a little longer for me for the process. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. Because as Southern Hillssuperintendent Russ Myers says, getting close to the pin is the hardest part of the course. McNealy has only missed the cut once since last years PGA Championship! Y.E. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected . Wagering on golf always seems to come down to the wire, which is why Ive become hooked. Hovland comes both with a little more risk and a bit more value. 5:06 pm ET, 2023 Masters picks, field, odds, best bets, date, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Sleepers to consider for the 2022 PGA Championship, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. The PGA Tour stays in Florida this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando. For a guy who has popped up routinely throughout his career, it speaks to the quality of play from Harold Varner III to say that hes been playing perhaps the best golf of his career. Yes, Scottie Scheffler is on a heater, is No. TV Broadcast: GOLFTV. Speaking of good ball-strikers and sketchy putters: Keegan Bradley! Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. Of course, that's why we are getting him at 66-1. The Course: The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island 3. To-win: Sam Burns, +4,000. He missed the cut at The Byron Nelson at high ownership. We had a 50-year-old win the PGA last year, so why cant a 49-year-old get it done this week? Currently projected near 10% owned, Zalatoris burned many last week. The Florida swing on the PGA Tour rolls on this week with the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge, and golf fans will be relieved to see a loaded field after last week's Honda Classic featured just three of the top 30 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Did you know RotoBaller has aPremium DFS PGA subscription? This isnt the same Southern Hills where Tiger won in 2007. He also has two Tour victories (Puerto Rico Open & Mayakoba Classic) on paspalum. Viktor Hovland ($9,900) - Viktor Hovland had a strong start to the new season. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. He is in top form and his game has reached an elite level in 2022, making him the player to beat at this year's PGA Championship. Bradley doesn't excel in any of the four key categories we're looking at for this week's tournament, but he ranks top-36 in SG:APR, SG:OTT and scrambling from the rough. Aug 17, 2022 25 The PGA Tour heads to Wilmington Country Club in Delaware for the second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. Lastly, the RickRunGood Tournament Predictor also loves him at these odds and has him listed as the No. hot putters. And that same group is sharing its 2023 Fantasy baseball rankings and cheat sheets over at SportsLine, helping you find Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts long before your competition. He may not be the best course fit, with his chipping being a weakness, but that is more than factored into this juicy price. Very, very little can be gleaned about this weeks event by looking into the time machine at the results from 2007. MORE: Why Phil Mickelson will not defend his PGA Championship title. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. Some of the best have bigger numbers than usual, and Shane McNichol has picked five of his favorites. Weather is very difficult to predict. Saturday College Basketball Best Bets: Situational Spots Worth Considering, Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule. Betting him as a top-10 finisher at +650 oddscould also be a profitable strategy. As such, it will be important to trust some of the bigger hitters in the field, especially considering that the two Par-5 holes are both 630 yards or longer. We also have a variable of wind and a possibility of a tee time advantage. This new app will help, Fortinet Championship odds: Two stars lead favorites at PGA Tour season opener, Tour Championship odds: Scottie Scheffler favored to win fifth title of the season, BMW Championship odds: Rory McIlroy still the betting favorite despite missed cut, FedEx St. Jude Championship odds: Rory McIlroy leads betting favorites for playoff opener, Wyndham Championship odds: Shane Lowry is betting favorite for regular-season finale. Finding a mix of top-tier golfers and low-priced sleepers is the key to daily fantasy golf. As an added bonus, the Swede played his college golf an hour west in Stillwater for Oklahoma State University, so he should be more than comfortable in this region of the country. Scheffler is playing the best golf of his career and earned his first major win at the Masters in April. The PGA Championship returns to Kiawah Island's Ocean Course for a second time, nine years after Rory McIlroy's dominant eight-shot victory at the famed Pete Dye design. Berger, he said, is as impressive as anybody.. However, it could lead to a similar situation to The Players Championship. In just his second year on TOUR, Pendrith has already accumulated 13 top-25 finishes, which span across comp courses like PGA National, Winged Foot and Torrey Pines. Check out some of the sleepers in the 2022 PGA Championship below. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. He has made the cut in each of his last eight starts including a 12th place finish last week in which he gained strokes in all four major categories (his 4th top 12 in 2022). In GPPs I like the idea of having a few shares of Woods he can grind and scramble his way around. If Zalatoris remains near 10% is a great play. Like I said, its my little escape from all this., Sounds lovely. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. There has been a lot of talk about how Southern Hills is Schefflers favorite course, and rave reviews came from his recent practice round there. This will likely make scoring difficult and will put an emphasis on saving par. This means it will be the longest course in major championship history, as it was in 2012. But theres something about Southern Hills that I think will suit the Aussie to snap that streak. Suh has exceeded salary-based expectations in nine straight events dating back to last fall's edition of The CJ Cup, where he finished T29 in a very strong field.